The Raleigh real estate market: stats and trends for 2022

A joint report from the Wall Street Journal and Realtor.com ranks Raleigh as one of the top 20 emerging housing markets for investors and homeowners alike, based on important metrics such as economic vitality, housing market, and quality of life. As the report notes, investing in Raleigh real estate (and other parts of the country) is a major store of wealth that is more widely held than stocks.

This southern metropolis is the capital of North Carolina and also the second-largest city in the state. Raleigh is home to world-class technology and life science institutions, artists who thrive on the area’s rich cultural history, and one of the tastiest food scenes in this part of the U.S.

Raleigh is one of those forward-thinking cities that’s able to balance business and development-friendly policies while creating a high quality of life for the people who live, work, and play here. In fact, Raleigh was recently named one of the top convention centers in all of North America.

>>Explore Roofstock's Raleigh properties here.

 

Population growth

The Raleigh-Cary metro area is the fastest-growing city in North Carolina, with a population growth rate more than double that of the state. Over the past 10 years, the population grew by 25.6% compared to 11.2% for North Carolina. Raleigh is becoming increasingly cosmopolitan, with a population density that’s similar to Atlanta and Austin. 

Key population stats:

  • Raleigh is home to nearly 468,000 people in the city and 1.4 million in the metropolitan area, making it the second-largest city in North Carolina.
  • Population of the city of Raleigh has grown by 0.89% year-over-year and, according to the most recent U.S. Census, by 15.8% over the past 10 years.
  • Raleigh and Durham are ranked as one of the fastest-growing places in the country, with university grads electing to stay while others come to the city for job opportunities.
  • The population of Raleigh is projected to grow by nearly 125,000 people over the next 15 years.

 

Job market

Raleigh is forecast to gain between 12,000 and 15,000 net new jobs by the end of 2021, which is a growth rate of 2%, and higher than what is expected for the nation. According to a recent story from WRAL TechWire, Raleigh is also rated as one of the highest in the nation for potential remote working. 

In fact, Raleigh has been one of the cities where STEM (science, technology, education, mathematics) jobs are on the rise, according to a recent story in USA Today. The city beats out traditional high-tech powerhouse cities such as San Francisco and Boston for STEM job creation, biotech, and high-tech employment. 

That’s important to real estate investors, because tech jobs pay a median annual income that’s significantly higher than non-tech jobs, based on a recent report from Pew Research Center.

Key employment stats:

  • GDP of Raleigh is more than $95.3 billion, and has increased by more than 72% over the past 10 years.
  • Job growth in Raleigh decreased by 2.4% during the pandemic, but is forecast to grow by 2% by the end of the year (2021).
  • Median household incomes in Raleigh have increased by 5.54% year-over-year, while the poverty rate has declined by 8.21%.
  • Unemployment in Raleigh is down to 3.0% according to the most recent report from the BLS (Oct. 2021).
  • Major employers in Raleigh include the State of North Carolina, WakeMed Health and Hospitals, North Carolina State University, UNC Rex Healthcare, and Duke Energy Progress.
  • Other major companies based in the Raleigh metro area include Capitol Broadcasting Company, First Citizens BancShares, and multinational software company Red Hat.
  • Raleigh is part of North Carolina’s Research Triangle, one of the largest high-tech and biotech research parks in the world.
  • Forbes has ranked Raleigh #3 as the best place for business and careers in the U.S.
  • Major universities in Raleigh and North Carolina include North Carolina State University, Duke University, and University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
  • 48% of Raleigh residents hold a bachelor’s degree or higher, compared to just 33% nationwide.
  • Interstate 40 is one of the major highways passing through Raleigh, and the Amtrak train station in Raleigh is one of the busiest in the southern U.S.
  • Passenger growth at Raleigh-Durham International Airport (RDU) recently set an all-time high prior to the pandemic, and FedEx and UPS provide cargo service at the airport. 
  • With more than 9,000 acres of parkland, Raleigh is the perfect place for outdoor activities like biking, hiking, or kayaking year-round.
  • The North Carolina Museum of Art is one of the five must-see art museums in Raleigh, and sports fans can watch the NHL Carolina Hurricanes in action at the PNC Arena.

 

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Real estate market

Northeast Raleigh is home to one of the hottest zip codes in the country for buying and selling homes. Zip code 27616 encompasses Triangle Town Center and the northern campus of Wake Technical Community College, with homes going under contract an average of just 5 days after being listed for sale.

Raleigh-Durham was also ranked as the #1 large market for housing construction growth last year as more people moved to the metro area. Raleigh is also ranked as the 4th best emerging housing market for investors, based on key criteria such as housing market activity and economic vitality.

Key market stats:

  • Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) is $396,232 for Raleigh as of December 2021.
  • Home values in Raleigh have increased by 28.8% over the last year.
  • Over the past 5 years home values in Raleigh have increased by nearly 70%.
  • Median listing price for a home in Raleigh is $379,000 based on the most recent research from Realtor.com (as of November 2021).
  • Median listing price per square foot is $196.
  • Days on market (median) is 33.
  • Sales-to-list price ratio in Raleigh is 100%, which means that homes are selling for approximately the asking price on average.
  • Of the 75 neighborhoods in Raleigh, Glenwood is the most expensive with a median listing price of $895,000.
  • Most affordable neighborhood to buy a home in Raleigh is Triangle Town Center, where the median listing price is $282,500.

 

Attractive renters’ market

Raleigh is listed by WalletHub as one of the best cities for renters in the U.S., based on key metrics such as share of renters and rental vacancy, rent-to-price ratio, and historical rental-price changes. Nearly 50% of the households in Raleigh are occupied by renters, with rents growing 11% year-over-year.

Key market stats:

  • Median rent in Raleigh is $1,755 per month for a 3-bedroom home, according to the most recent report from Zumper (December 2021).
  • Rents in Raleigh have increased by 11% year-over-year.
  • Over the past 3 years, average rent for a 3-bedroom place in Raleigh increased by about 25%.
  • Renter-occupied households in Raleigh make up 49% of the total occupied housing units in the metropolitan area.
  • Most affordable neighborhoods for renters in Raleigh include Bedford at Falls River, King Charles, and Southwest Raleigh where average rents run less than $1,670 per month.
  • Most expensive rental areas in Raleigh are Oakwood, Brier Creek Country Club, and Hedingham where rents range between $1,800 and $2,295 per month.

 

Historic price changes & housing affordability

Real estate investors employ a variety of analytical tools to determine whether or not Raleigh is good for investing in rental property. Historical price changes of homes provide both a long- and short-term pricing trend, while affordability is one way to determine the potential demand for rental property in Raleigh.

Every month, Freddie Mac publishes a house price index that tracks the price changes of housing over the recent quarter and year, as well as historical pricing trends. According to the latest Freddie Mac House Price Index (FMHPI) report for the Raleigh MSA:

  • October 2016 HPI: 148.9
  • October 2021 HPI: 240.7
  • 5-year change in home prices: 61.7%
  • One-year change in home prices: 24.3%
  • Monthly change in home prices: 1.7%

Kiplinger, one of the leading publishers of business forecasts and personal finance advice, uses ATTOM Data Services to compile home price changes and housing affordability of the top 100 U.S. markets. 

Affordability ratings range from 1 to 10, and the lower the number the more potentially affordable a home is to purchase. However, investors should note that even in the most affordable markets many people choose to rent rather than own.

  • Since the last real estate cycle market peak in May 2006, home prices in Raleigh have increased by 37.9%.
  • Since the last real estate cycle market bottom in March 2012, home prices in Raleigh have increased by nearly 54.4%.
  • Raleigh has an affordability index of 6 out of 10, meaning the metro area is one of the more expensive places to own a home in the U.S.

 

Quality of life

Raleigh consistently ranks as one of the best places to live, work, and play in the U.S. In fact, local news channel ABC 11 recently reported that for three years in a row Raleigh made the list of top three cities in the world for the best quality of life.

Key quality of life stats:

  • Among the Top 100 Best Places to Live in by Livability.com
  • Best Quality of Life in the Americas 2021 Mid-Year by Numbeo.
  • Raleigh has been rated as one of the Top 10 Best Cities for New Grads Starting Out, according to MarketWatch.
  • Best City to Drive In 2021 by WalletHub instead of using public transit.

 

Get out the map

Where to begin your search? Roofstock created a heat map of Raleigh based on our Neighborhood Rating, a dynamic algorithm that enables you to make informed investment decisions by measuring school district quality, home values, employment rates, income levels, and other vital investment criteria.

Raleigh NR Map

DARK GREEN: 4-5 star neighborhood
LIGHT GREEN: 3.5-4 star neighborhood
YELLOW: 2.5-3 star neighborhood
ORANGE: 2 star neighborhood
RED: 1 star neighborhood


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This article, and the Roofstock Blog in general, is intended for informational and educational purposes only, and is not investment, tax, financial planning, legal, or real estate advice. Roofstock is not your advisor or agent. Please consult your own experts for advice in these areas. Although Roofstock provides information it believes to be accurate, Roofstock makes no representations or warranties about the accuracy or completeness of the information contained on this blog.
Jeff Rohde

Author

Jeff Rohde

Jeff has over 25 years of experience in all segments of the real estate industry including investing, brokerage, residential, commercial, and property management. While his real estate business runs on autopilot, he writes articles to help other investors grow and manage their real estate portfolios.

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