Your 2021 Guide to The St. Louis Real Estate Market

The St. Louis real estate market is grappling with a lack of housing inventory, pushing median sales prices up month after month and inventory down to near all-time lows. A shortage of homes to buy in St. Louis is one reason that the market ranks as one of the best for rental property, with more than half of the households in St. Louis occupied by renters.

Nestled on the banks of the Mighty Mississippi River, just below its confluence with the Missouri River, sits the vibrant and storied Gateway to the West, St. Louis.

Known for beer, barbecue, and the Blues, this town boasts the kind of appeal that makes it an ideal real estate investment market.

With a growing population working in the tech and creative sectors, and anchored by established brands like Anheuser-Busch, Boeing, and Emerson Electric, St. Louis seamlessly blends the new economy with powerhouse Fortune 500 entities. All of those companies translate into a highly skilled and educated workforce with money to spend.

We’ve put together your guide to the St. Louis real estate market, including both the current investment scene and future potential over the next year. You may just find that St. Louis is exactly the growth opportunity you’ve been looking for.

>>Explore Roofstock's St. Louis investment properties here.

 

Population Growth

Although the population of St. Louis has been on a slight decline, the city is still attracting more than its fair share of millennials. Over the last few years, millennials priced out of bigger cities have been moving to St. Louis where prices are affordable and the quality of life is great. In fact, the millennial generation in St. Louis is now larger than baby boomers.

Key Population Stats:

  • St. Louis is home to over 300,000 people in the city and more than 2.8 million residents in the metropolitan area.
  • Population of St. Louis declined by 0.09% last year.
  • St. Louis is the largest metropolitan area in Missouri and the seventh-largest metro area in the Great Lake Region.
  • Major counties in metropolitan St. Louis include Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln, and St. Louis counties in Missouri, along with Bond, Clinton, Madison, and Monroe in Illinois.
  • Median age in St. Louis is 39.7 years with 38% of the population between the ages of 20 and 49.
  • Per capita income in St. Louis is $37,365 and median household income is $66,417.

 

Job Market

Although the rate of employment in the state is slowing, job growth in St. Louis is still going up. The job market in St. Louis grew by nearly 0.6% last year, according to Data USA. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports that (as of Oct. 2020) unemployment in the St. Louis MSA is down to just 4.3% with most employment sectors on the rebound.

Key Employment Stats:

  • GDP of the St. Louis, MO-IL MSA is nearly $173.5 billion, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, and has grown by nearly 29% over the last 10 years.
  • Employment growth in St. Louis is 0.56% year-over-year with the metro area home to over 1.4 million employees.
  • Median household incomes in St. Louis grew by nearly 2% year-over-year while median property values increased by almost 5% over the past 12 months.
  • Unemployment rate in St. Louis is 4.3% (as of Oct. 2020) with the construction, financial activities, education and health services, and professional and business services sectors showing the fastest signs of new growth (BLS).
  • Major industry sectors in St. Louis include aerospace, food processing, chemicals, electrical equipment manufacturing, bio-technology, and printing and publishing.
  • Largest employers in St. Louis include BJC HealthCare, Mercy, Washington University in St. Louis, Boeing Defense, and SSM Health.
  • St. Louis is home to three national research universities: University of Missouri-St. Louis, Washington University in St. Louis, and Saint Louis University.
  • Nearly 93% of the residents of St. Louis are high school graduates or higher, while almost 36% hold a bachelor’s degree or advanced degree.
  • Transportation infrastructure of St. Louis includes four interstate highways, metro light rail and subway, freight rail service, two airports, and the Port of St. Louis.

 

Real Estate Market

The real estate market in St. Louis is showing no signs of slowing down, with home prices on the rise and listings hard to find. According to the St. Louis Business Journal, single-family homes in St. Louis are seeing strong demand from buyers with multiple offers a common occurrence in many of the most popular neighborhoods in metropolitan St. Louis.

Key Market Stats:

  • Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for St. Louis is $155,174 through May 2021.
  • Home values in St. Louis increased by 14% over the last year.
  • Over the last five years home values in St. Louis increased by a total of 44.8%.
  • Median sales price of a single-family home in St. Louis is $237,500 based on the most recent housing report from St. Louis Realtors (Nov. 2020).
  • Median sales price of a single-family home in St. Louis has increased by 20.6% year-over-year.
  • Average days on market until sale is 34 days vs. 46 days last year.
  • Closed sales of single-family homes in St. Louis is up 22.3% compared to last year.
  • Months supply of inventory is only 1.6 months, a decrease of 40.7% year-over-year.
  • Home sellers in St. Louis continue to benefit from tight market conditions with showing activity remaining higher than the same period last year.

 

Strong Renters’ Market

St. Louis is one of the best 100 cities for renters, according to recent research from WalletHub. The report analyzes the same key criteria real estate investors use, including activity in the rental market, job and population growth, and the preference of households to rent rather than own. In fact, more than half of the household units in St. Louis are occupied by renters.

Key Market Stats:

  • Median rent in St. Louis is $1,500 per month for a 3-bedroom home, based on the most recent research from Zumper (July 2021).
  • Rents in St. Louis have decreased by 6% year-over-year.
  • Renter-occupied households in St. Louis account for 54% of the total occupied housing units in the metropolitan area.
  • Most affordable neighborhoods in St. Louis for renters include Baden, O'Fallon Park, and Lewis Place where rents are around $500 per month.
  • Most expensive neighborhoods in St. Louis for renters include Central West End, Cheltenham, and Wydown Skinker where the average rent goes for between $1,400 - $1,650 per month.

 

Historic Price Changes & Housing Affordability

Two key data sets experienced real estate investors use to predict the potential demand for rental property in St. Louis are the historic price changes and the affordability of housing in the metropolitan area.

Each month Freddie Mac publishes a house price index report (FMHPI) that updates the short- and long-term trends of home prices in all major markets in the U.S.

The most recent FMHPI from Freddie for the St. Louis, MO – IL MSA reveals:

  • May 2016 HPI: 132.4
  • May 2021 HPI: 182.2
  • 5-year change in house prices: 37.6%
  • One-year change in house prices: 13.6%
  • Monthly change in home prices: 1.1%

Experienced real estate investors in St. Louis also research housing affordability to help forecast the current and future demand for rental real estate. Affordability compares the amount of annual income needed to purchase a median-priced home in St. Louis.

Business forecast and personal finance publication Kiplinger publishes a housing affordability report for the top 100 metropolitan areas in the U.S. The firm ranks affordability on a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 representing the most affordable markets and 10 the least affordable.

Kiplinger’s analysis of housing affordability in St. Louis reports:

  • Since the last real estate cycle market peak in May 2006, home prices in St. Louis have declined by 4.5%.
  • Since the last real estate cycle market bottom in March 2012, home prices in St. Louis have increased by 50.27%.
  • St. Louis has an affordability index of 3 out of 10, but even though housing affordability in the market is mid-range more than half of the households in St. Louis still prefer to rent rather than own.

 

Quality of Life

St. Louis is a city with good salaries, a high quality of life, and a low cost of living. As The Ascent by Motley Fool reports, there’s a “low cost of living large in St. Louis.”

Key Quality of Life Stats:

  • Cost of living in St. Louis is lower than other Midwestern cities such as Chicago, Milwaukee, and Columbus.
  • Forbes ranks St. Louis as one of the best places for business and careers last year, noting that high-tech employment in the metro area grew by 2.2%.
  • St. Louis ranks as the 39th best place for young professionals in America by Niche.com, with high ratings for diversity, family living, and nightlife.
  • Some of the best neighborhoods in St. Louis to live include Hi-Pointe, Skinker-Debaliviere, McRee Town, Shaw, and Benton Park.
  • St. Louis is one of the best places to live and to retire in the country, based on the most recent research by U.S. News & World Report.
  • St. Louis is known as a bio-tech and business center and is home to almost 40 colleges and universities.
  • Major attractions in St. Louis include The Gateway Arch, numerous museums such as the St. Louis Art Museum and the Missouri History Museum, and the world-famous St. Louis Symphony Orchestra.
  • Pro sports teams in the St. Louis area include the MLB St. Louis Cardinals and the St. Louis Blues ice hockey team.

 

Check the map

Where to begin your search? Roofstock created a heat map of St. Louis based on our Neighborhood Rating, a dynamic algorithm that enables you to make informed investment decisions by measuring school district quality, home values, employment rates, income levels and other vital investment criteria.

St Louis Heat Map

DARK GREEN: 4-5 star neighborhood
LIGHT GREEN: 3.5-4 star neighborhood
YELLOW: 2.5-3 star neighborhood
ORANGE: 2 star neighborhood
RED: 1 star neighborhood

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This article, and the Roofstock Blog in general, is intended for informational and educational purposes only, and is not investment, tax, financial planning, legal, or real estate advice. Roofstock is not your advisor or agent. Please consult your own experts for advice in these areas. Although Roofstock provides information it believes to be accurate, Roofstock makes no representations or warranties about the accuracy or completeness of the information contained on this blog.
Jeff Rohde

Author

Jeff Rohde

Jeff has over 25 years of experience in all segments of the real estate industry including investing, brokerage, residential, commercial, and property management. While his real estate business runs on autopilot, he writes articles to help other investors grow and manage their real estate portfolios.

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