The Atlanta Housing Market: Still a Smart Investment in 2021?

The Atlanta real estate market was red-hot last year, with median sales prices up by nearly 16% year-over-year. Job growth, a growing population, and housing affordability should make Atlanta an ideal market for investing in rental property in 2021, especially when 50% of the households in the metro area rent rather than own.

When it comes to thriving metropolitan areas with relatively reasonable home prices, Atlanta is a serious contender. Boasting a strong economy, tree-lined neighborhoods, vibrant culture and urban walkability, Georgia’s state capital is a place where newcomers put down stakes and locals never leave.

When looking at Atlanta through a real estate lens, the numbers come up big. It’s a city with an incredible amount of upside and an ideal real estate market for investors looking for a winning combination of cash flow and appreciation.

>>Explore Roofstock's Atlanta investment properties here.


Population Growth

Atlanta is in the top 5 of fastest growing large cities, according to a recent report by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. In fact, over the last nine years, metropolitan Atlanta added 730,000 new residents.

Key Population Stats:

  • Atlanta is home to over 500,000 in the city and more than 6 million residents in the metropolitan area.
  • Population of Atlanta grew by 1.16% last year alone.
  • Atlanta is the most populous city in Georgia and the 9th-largest metropolitan area in the country.
  • DeKalb, Gwinnett, Fulton, and Cobb are among the most populated counties in Metropolitan Atlanta.
  • Over the next 30 years Metro Atlanta is projected to grow by 2.9 million people and reach a total population of over 8.6 million, according to the Atlanta Regional Commission (ARC).
  • Median age in Atlanta is 36.8 years with 42% of the population between the ages of 20 and 49.
  • Per capita income in Atlanta is $37,331 and median household income is $71,742.

 

Job Market

The 21-county region of metropolitan Atlanta is projected to add 1.2 million new jobs over the next 30 years. ARC predicts that the largest employment gains will occur in the health care, professional, scientific and technical, and construction industries.

Key Employment Stats:

  • GDP of the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA MSA is over $371.8 billion, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, and has grown by nearly 37% over the last 10 years.
  • Employment growth in Atlanta is 2.31% year-over-year with the metro area home to about 3 million employees.
  • Median household incomes in Atlanta grew by 6.24% year-over-year while median property values increased by 8.65% of the past 12 months.
  • Unemployment rate in Atlanta is currently 4.7% (as of Oct. 2020) with the mining and logging, construction, trade and transportation, and financial activities job sectors showing the fastest signs of growth (BLS).
  • Key industry sectors in Atlanta include bioscience, fintech, technology, and supply chain and advanced manufacturing.
  • Atlanta is home to 30 Fortune 500/1000 companies who generated aggregate revenues of $438 billion last year.
  • Largest employers in Atlanta include Delta Air Lines, Emory University and Emory Healthcare, The Home Depot, Northside Hospital, Piedmont Healthcare, Publix Super Markets, The Kroger Co., AT&T, and UPS.
  • Atlanta is recognized as a thriving innovation hub, with #1 rankings for metro area tech hub and best state of Black entrepreneurs, and among the top 25 global startup ecosystems.
  • Major colleges and universities in Atlanta include the Georgia Institute of Technology, University of Georgia, and Georgia State University.
  • 90% of the residents of Atlanta are high school graduates or higher, while nearly 40% hold a bachelor’s degree or advanced degree.
  • Atlanta’s transportation infrastructure includes three major interstate highways, a heavy rail rapid transit system, multiple freight lines, and several airports.
  • Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport has been the world’s busiest airport since 1998 and serves over 150 U.S. destinations and more than 75 international destinations in 50 countries.

 

Real Estate Market

The growth of home prices in Atlanta is projected to outpace national home prices this year. According to the Atlanta Business Chronicle, Atlanta housing price increases could be among the largest in the nation in 2021. 

There are three key factors driving the demand for housing in the Atlanta real estate market: growing population, job growth, and affordability, according to a recent post on the BiggerPockets blog.

Key Market Stats:

  • Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for Atlanta is $303,987 through November 2020.
  • Home values in Atlanta increased by 5.6% last year and are projected to grow by another 9.8% during the next 12 months.
  • Over the last five years home values in Atlanta increased by a total of 49%.
  • Median listing price of a single-family home in Atlanta is $405,000 based on the most recent report from Realtor.com (Nov. 2020).
  • Median list price per square foot for a home in Atlanta is $233.
  • Days on market (median) is 61.
  • Median selling price of a single-family home in Atlanta is $409,450.
  • Sale-to-list price ratio is 99.12%, meaning that homes in Atlanta are selling for approximately the asking price on average.
  • Of the 200 neighborhoods in Atlanta, the most expensive neighborhood to buy a home is Morningside – Lenox Park where the median listing price is $819,000.
  • Most affordable neighborhood in Atlanta to buy a home is Grove Park where the median listing price is $229,000.

 

Attractive Renters’ Market

Build-to-rent communities in Atlanta are hot, especially in a metro area like Atlanta where 50% of the households rent rather than own. 

As the Atlanta Business Chronicle reports, there isn’t a lot of housing that millennials and Generation Z can afford to buy. Instead, these two demographics groups are looking for single-family homes to rent, making metropolitan Atlanta an ideal choice for rental property investors.

Key Market Stats:

  • Median rent in Atlanta is $1,850 per month for a 3-bedroom home, based on the most recent research from Zumper (Jan. 2020).
  • Rents in Atlanta have increased by 12% year-over-year.
  • Over the past three years average rents in Atlanta have grown by 8.5%
  • Renter-occupied households in Atlanta account for 50% of the total occupied housing units in the metropolitan area.
  • Millennials and Generation Z make up 42% of the population in Atlanta.
  • Most affordable neighborhoods in Atlanta for renters include Leila Valley, Carver Hills, and Amal Heights where average rents are $875 per month or less.
  • Most expensive neighborhoods in Atlanta for renters include South Tuxedo Park, Peachtree Heights West, and Peachtree Hills where rents can go for more than $9,000 per month.

 

Historic Price Changes & Housing Affordability

Two key methods real estate investors use to predict the potential demand for rental property in a specific market are reviewing the historic price changes and the affordability of housing in the metropolitan area.

Each month Freddie Mac publishes a house price index report (FMHPI) that updates the short- and long-term trends of home prices in all major markets in the U.S.

The most recent FMHPI from Freddie for the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA MSA reveals:

  • November 2015 HPI: 125.51
  • November 2020 HPI: 186.31
  • 5-year change in house prices: 48.5%
  • One-year change in house prices: 11.2%
  • Monthly change in home prices: 0.9%

Experienced real estate investors in Atlanta also research housing affordability to help forecast the current and future demand for rental real estate. Affordability compares the amount of annual income needed to purchase a median-priced home in Atlanta.

Business forecast and personal finance publication Kiplinger publishes a housing affordability report for the top 100 metropolitan areas in the U.S. The firm ranks affordability on a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 representing the most affordable markets and 10 the least affordable.

Kiplinger’s analysis of housing affordability in Atlanta reports:

  • Since the last real estate cycle market peak in May 2006, home prices in Atlanta have increased by 14.2%.
  • Since the last real estate cycle market bottom in March 2012, home prices in Atlanta have increased by 123.7%.
  • Atlanta has an affordability index of 4 out of 10, meaning that housing affordability in the market is mid-range and helps to explain the high percentage of people renting in Atlanta.

 

Quality of Life

Atlanta recently ranked as the #1 best city for techies, another reason why the demand for rental property in Atlanta is so strong. Livability.com reports that the massive growth in tech job offerings and the numerous high-profile startups in the city are “proof-positive” that Atlanta is the perfect city for the tech-minded.

Key Quality of Life Stats:

  • Cost of living in Atlanta is nearly 50% less than San Francisco and 60% less than in Manhattan, according to NerdWallet’s cost of living calculator.
  • Forbes ranks Atlanta as one of the best places for business and careers in the U.S.
  • Atlanta receives an overall “A” grade from Niche.com with high ratings for diversity, family living, public schools, and nightlife.
  • Atlanta is one of the best places to live and a great place to retire, based on the most recent research by U.S. News & World Report.
  • Curbed Atlanta lists Summerhill, Buckhead Village, and Westview as three of the best neighborhoods in Atlanta for long-term renters and first-time buyers.
  • More than 30 colleges and universities serve the Atlanta metropolitan area.
  • Atlanta is a primary transportation center and home to Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport – the busiest airport in the world.
  • Pro sports teams in Atlanta include the Atlanta Braves, Atlanta Hawks, Atlanta Falcons, and the Atlanta United FC of Major League Soccer.
  • Atlanta is home to permanent resident companies in all major performing arts, including opera, ballet, orchestra, and theater.

 

Get Out the Map

Where to begin your search? Roofstock created a heat map of Atlanta based on our Neighborhood Rating, a dynamic algorithm that enables you to make informed investment decisions by measuring school district quality, home values, employment rates, income levels and other vital investment criteria.

Atlanta_NeighborhoodScores

DARK GREEN: 4-5 star neighborhood
LIGHT GREEN: 3.5-4 star neighborhood
YELLOW: 2.5-3 star neighborhood
ORANGE: 2 star neighborhood
RED: 1 star neighborhood

 

Ready to invest in the Atlanta market? If you haven't already done so, create your free Roofstock account and set up alerts. We'll notify you when we have an Atlanta investment property that matches your search criteria.

Start Browsing Atlanta Properties

 

 

Click me
Jeff Rohde

Author

Jeff Rohde

Jeff has over 25 years of experience in all segments of the real estate industry including investing, brokerage, residential, commercial, and property management. While his real estate business runs on autopilot, he writes articles to help other investors grow and manage their real estate portfolios.

Join 100,000+ Fellow Investors.

Subscribe to get our top real estate investing content.

Subscribe Here!