Tampa Investment Properties & Real Estate Outlook

Greater Tampa is among the top 25 largest metro areas in the United States and spans 7 counties with an estimated population of 4.3 mm people. The Tampa, Florida real estate market has experienced significant recovery since the recession, with home values increasing over 70% since 2012.1. However, home values still remain over 25% below the prior peak and are expected to increase an additional 13% by 20192This puts Greater Tampa investment properties at the top of the list in terms of home price appreciation (HPA) potential over the next four years.
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High Expected Home Price Appreciation, Strong Yields and Supply Constraints

In addition to strong HPA forecasts for the Greater Tampa, Florida real estate market, continued rent growth is expected to keep pace as well. We estimate that rents will increase in the low-double digits over the next four years, which should support high yields and ongoing rent increases.

Another factor that makes Greater Tampa a strong Single-Family Rental (SFR) investment market is that it has the third highest gross rental yield across all U.S. markets. Gross yields in the Greater Tampa, Florida real estate market averaged 12.5%, which is well above the national average of 9.2%3.

Supply of Tampa investment properties continues to be constrained as the number of single-family permits remains well below the peak levels prior to the recession. Relative to the other Florida markets, new permits are only a quarter of what they were at the peak levels, while markets like Orlando and Jacksonville are closer to half of the prior peak levels. The limited supply of Tampa, Florida real estate rentals supports higher rents as demand growth continues.

When it comes to underlying fundamentals that drive SFR investment returns (job growth, household growth, income growth, and housing supply), Greater Tampa, Florida real estate rentals continues to show strength on all fronts.
 What's attractive about Greater Tampa:
  • HPA and rent growth: Some of the strongest home price and rent growth forecasts in the nation
  • Gross yields: Among the highest in the U.S.
  • Decreasing foreclosures: Home foreclosures in Greater Tampa decreased by 38% over the last 12 months4, which supports home values in local neighborhoods


 Factors to watch:
  • High negative equity rate: 24.52% of homes in the Greater Tampa, Florida real estate rentals market have negative equity, which is higher than the national average5.


 Did You Know:
  • Babe Ruth hit his longest home run during an exhibition game in Tampa - it sailed 587 feet.
  • Tampa is home to the world's longest continuous sidewalk, Bayshore Boulevard. It's 4.5 miles long!

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1 Zillow
2 John Burns Real Estate Consulting, March 2016
3 John Burns Real Estate Consulting, March 2016
4 Findthehome.com, January 2016
5 Findthehome.com, January 2016


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The Roofstock Team


The Roofstock Team

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